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Blog Törökgáborelemez





Country: Hungary

E-Mail: torok@visionpolitics.hu
Internet: http://torokgaborelemez.blog.hu/

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4 articles from this medium have been cited in the European press review by euro|topics.


1.  Blog Törökgáborelemez - Hungary | Tuesday, June 12, 2012

Change of government possible in Hungary

According to recent surveys by Hungarian polling institutes the right-wing conservative governing party Fidesz is fast losing its electoral base. In fact Viktor Orbán's government hasn't been as unpopular as it is now since it first took office, writes political scientist Gábor Török in his blog Torokgaborelemez: "Despite the many imponderables one thing's for sure: although Fidesz is still ahead in the polls, there can be no doubt that it is heading for an electoral defeat. The trend is clear: Fidesz is losing voter support, and the opposition Socialist Party (MSZP) is gaining ground. If this trend continues it is as good as certain that today's opposition will win the parliamentary elections in 2014. ... Of course, you've got to be either a dilettante or a propagandist to try and anticipate the results of the 2014 elections today. An analyst can only say two things: 1. An election defeat for Fidesz in 2014 has never been as likely as it is today. 2. To avoid defeat the government must fundamentally change its programme."

2.  Blog Törökgáborelemez - Hungary | Wednesday, November 2, 2011

Gábor Török on the turmoil in the Hungarian party system

The Hungarian party system was long considered to be especially stable after the fall of communism but is now in a state of turmoil, political scientist Gábor Török explains in his blog Törökgáborelemez: "Four, eight or ten years ago it would have been no great feat to predict that in the next elections the two top places would go to the current ruling party Fidesz and the Socialists (MSZP). Nowadays it is an art. ... While during the 1990s almost everywhere else in Central Eastern Europe new formations emerged and took power, here in Hungary two parties reigned supreme for almost a decade and a half. Although a large part of the voters always talked of being disappointed and disillusioned, from election to election Fidesz and the MSZP gained an increasingly large proportion of the active electorate between them (1998: 62, 2002: 83, 2006: 85 percent). The 2010 elections clearly broke with this trend, with the MSZO suffering a crushing defeat and plunging into a crisis, and on top of that two new parties winning seats in parliament, the far-right party Jobbik and the green party LMP. ... The recent founding of two new parties in the left-liberal camp shows once more that Hungary's party system is changing radically."

3.  Blog Törökgáborelemez - Hungary | Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Viktor Orbáns star on the wane

Hungary's governing Fidesz party has suffered a clear loss in popularity. Whereas the right-wing conservative party won a two-thirds majority in the parliamentary elections almost a year ago, current opinion polls now put it at just 30 percent. The policies of Viktor Orbán's government have focused too much on symbolic and ideological content, writes political scientist Gábor Török in his blog: "Originally the government planned to hold its heterogeneous voting base together with a pragmatic, non-ideological policy, and to prevent the political race from being reduced to a fight between two big camps. ... From a strategic point of view such intentions were entirely justified. And in addition the government benefited from the extreme weakness of the Left after the parliamentary elections in 2010. Ultimately however these intentions were thwarted by political steps that redrew traditional lines of support, whether it be over the controversial media law or the new constitution and the accompanying symbolic and ideological debates."

4.  Blog Törökgáborelemez - Hungary | Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Gábor Török deciphers power politician Viktor Orbán

Where does the power, authority and popularity of Hungary's right-wing conservative head of government Viktor Orbán come from? Not only is he a shrewd technician of power but also a politician with great charisma, writes political scientist Gábor Török in his blog törökgaborelemez: "The authority of a politician can feed on many sources. … Without doubt the head of government has done everything in his power over the past two decades to shift the balance of power within his party to his own advantage. He has always been careful to keep potential opponents within Fidesz at bay, to put rivals out of the running before they became too dangerous and to play the party's Young Turks off against each other. … In addition to the camarilla politics which demand constant vigilance he took care to centralise the decision mechanisms and administration of funding within the Fidesz party. At no point did he allow other power centres to form within the party. … And finally there's the personality cult revolving around Orbán which is extremely irritating for his political opponents. … Viktor Orbán is a politician who exerts a powerful attraction on his surroundings. … Those who are close to him all without exception describe him as charismatic, competent, skilled and determined."

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