Ukraine: a chance for talks or just a bluff?
Russia's President Putin has ignored calls for an immediate 30-day ceasefire in Ukraine from France, Germany, the UK, Poland and the US and instead proposed direct negotiations between Ukraine and Russia. President Zelensky promptly replied from Kyiv that he was expecting to meet Putin in person in Turkey on Thursday. Europe's press takes stock.
Gradual return to diplomacy
Le Figaro draws three conclusions:
“Firstly, diplomacy is gaining momentum. Only slowly, perhaps, but this development must nevertheless be supported. Secondly, the Europeans are back in the game - aided by Trump's failure and his attempt to turn his back on Ukraine. This gives them the weighty responsibility of supporting Kyiv while at the same time becoming an acceptable dialogue partner for Moscow again. Thirdly, although the American U-turn is noteworthy, at this stage it remains primarily tactical and does not call into question Trump's strategic goal of reconciliation with Putin.”
Vying for Trump's backing
Political scientist Vladimir Fesenko comments on Facebook:
“Zelensky's statement that he will be waiting for Kremlin boss Vladimir Putin in Turkey on 15 May is a continuation of active tactical manoeuvring around the issue of peace talks. This is not about negotiations but about the willingness to negotiate. Formally, it's an appeal to Putin, but in reality it's a signal to the chief arbitrator in Washington - US President Donald Trump. And for that matter Putin's statement offering negotiations in Istanbul is also essentially aimed at Trump.”
Russia sticking to old demands
Dagens Nyheter is pessimistic:
“It's telling that although Putin claims he is proposing unconditional negotiations in Istanbul, these are in fact linked to numerous conditions: Putin's foreign policy adviser Yuri Ushakov says the talks should be based on the terms of the negotiations that took place in Istanbul in spring 2022 when among other things Russia demanded Ukrainian neutrality and strict limitations on Ukrainian defence forces. Moscow is also demanding that the 'root causes of the war' be addressed. This is the Kremlin's way of saying that Nato enlargement is to blame for the Russian war of aggression.”
Putin giving in but not letting on
Political scientist Abbas Gallyamov explains on Facebook why Moscow is offering negotiations:
“There are those who are now writing that Putin 'rejected the ceasefire offered by Ukraine'. What did they imagine? That Putin would stand up and say: 'I accept Zelensky's proposal?' No politician would do that. You can't play second best in politics. ... You have to ignore your opponent's proposal and present your own - slightly modified - version that looks original and not like a copy of your opponent's. These are basic rules in public policy and Putin knows them. Nevertheless, in effect Russia's president had no choice but to agree to Zelensky's proposal. Because it was backed by Trump.”
Plan for the long term too
Naftemporiki stresses the need for long-term thinking:
“European politicians must work on developing a coherent plan for a lasting peace in Europe which influences not just the future of Ukraine, but the security of the entire Old Continent and also Russia's stance. Because when the peace process is eventually finalised, for better or for worse, Russia will still be in the same geographic position in which it is today. And the same goes for Europe.”